The question of whether Google will advance its discussions with the US government remains uncertain, as the company’s recent responses suggest it has yet to fully consider the next steps. When asked about potential dialogues, Google's spokesperson offered little insight, indicating a cautious stance towards escalating official talks.

Historically, Google's silence regarding its dealings with China dates back to early 2007, a period when it, along with Microsoft, Cisco, and Yahoo, refused to testify before the US Congressional Human Rights Caucus, citing privacy rights related to business operations. However, earlier this month, Google found it necessary to break this silence to consult with the US State Department about recent cyberattacks, signaling a shift in engagement and openness.

Tensions in the cyber realm have escalated, with Baidu—China’s leading search engine—taking aggressive legal action against Register.com, a US-based domain registrar. Baidu claims that negligence on Register.com’s part resulted in its domain being maliciously hijacked for several hours, an incident that some interpret as retaliatory amid ongoing tensions with Google. The lawsuit, filed in a New York district court, accuses Register.com of unlawful domain mismanagement, although the registrar has yet to respond publicly.

These developments risk turning the cybersecurity disputes into an escalating game of accusations, reminiscent of an arms race, with each side potentially blaming the other for cyber intrusions. For example, China might argue that the US was responsible for rerouting Baidu’s domain, just as Google attributes its own cyberattacks to China.

The incident involving Baidu’s domain rerouting occurred on January 11, just a day before Google’s public revelation of its cyberattack. During that event, traffic to Baidu was temporarily diverted to a site displaying graphics attributed to the "Iranian Cyber Army," a group linked to previous attacks on Twitter. However, security experts remain skeptical of direct Iranian involvement, noting that the attack's pattern differs from the Google incident and that the hackers’ origins appear to be North American, not Iran.

Analysts suggest that the Baidu attack might not have been politically motivated but rather opportunistic, possibly aimed at spreading messages or exploiting high-profile websites. The domain rerouting involved DNS manipulation, with traffic being redirected to a Houston-based server, and email contacts linked to North American ISPs like Netfirms and Yahoo, indicating an absence of clear Iranian links.

In contrast, Google maintains that its cyberattack originated from Chinese servers, involving sophisticated social engineering to deploy malware targeting Internet Explorer 6—an outdated browser version. The choice of IE6 puzzles experts, as newer browsers like IE8 could have been targeted instead. Google’s spokesperson confirmed that while the company has evidence suggesting Chinese involvement, it has not revealed concrete proof that conclusively pinpoints China as the attacker.

Questions remain about the true origin of the Google attack, especially whether it was orchestrated directly by Chinese actors or by proxies operating from elsewhere. The company has refrained from clarifying what specific attributes make the attack distinctly Chinese, leaving the geopolitical implications open to interpretation.

Baidu’s recent legal and cyber incidents have sparked international debate, including discussions on BBC World Service, about possible interconnectedness between the two cases. Some analysts propose that both Google and Baidu might see themselves as victims—Google of Chinese cyberattacks, and Baidu potentially of US or negligent Chinese actors—possibly driven by mutual suspicion and strategic interests.

Security experts, such as those at Praetorian, have been questioned on how Google quickly attributed the attack to China. They note that Google and its security partners have not publicly detailed their methods, but suggest that the identification likely involved tracing SSL connections back to an IP address in Taiwan, which was then linked to Chinese activity through network analysis. This underscores the complexities and uncertainties inherent in attributing cyberattacks to specific nation-states amidst proxy tactics and international cyber diplomacy.

The encryption method spotted in the recent IE6 exploit

was previously documented in a Chinese technical paper,

according to researcher Joe Stewart.

His observation points toward a possible origin,

yet it remains a circumstantial piece of evidence.

The attack’s initial phase resembled ordinary browsing activity,

making detection difficult.

Only when hidden communications were traced

did the full scope become apparent.

While not definitive proof, this finding adds

another layer to the ongoing investigation.

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